How does spaceX make money
as side hustles go
elon musk’s rocket company spacex is
really quite something
entirely separate from the humdrum day
job at tesla where his only real
challenge is weaning humanity off the
internal combustion engine
musk’s multi-billion spacex operation
sets itself no lesser target than
bringing down the cost of space travel
and
ultimately helping mankind colonize mars
spoiler alert
firing gigantic rockets into space every
other week is not a cheap undertaking
and while there’s no question elon musk
aren’t bottomless
somehow all those dazzling launches and
landings need to pay for themselves
so strap in and get ready for ignition
sequence while we investigate today’s
burning question
how does spacex make money in october
this year
influential investment bank morgan
stanley went on record
saying it believed spacex would very
soon be worth a cool 100 billion dollars
which is all very exciting until you
start to think about the maths behind
that figure
because as awesome as space travel is
it’s a high risk endeavor requiring
hundreds of millions of dollars in
hardware and expensive labor just to get
started
and even if you make it to orbit it’s
not as if there’s a long line of paying
punters out there in the frozen wastes
of the solar system to help you recoup
your costs
that’s why historically the financial
heavy lifting in space has fallen on
governments
so why is it suddenly so commercially
viable spacex currently makes the
majority of its money serving
earth-based customers who need to put
stuff into low earth orbit that’s
unlikely to be you personally or anybody
you know for that matter
but for communications companies like
orbcom ses
iridium in marsat or tycom musk’s
ability to deposit their hardware up
into orbit more cheaply than the
competition makes all the difference
but cheaply of course we mean still many
tens of millions of dollars
the going rate for launching a satellite
on one of spacex’s tried and tested
falcon 9 rockets
is 62 million spacex doesn’t reveal the
ins and outs of its company finances
but it’s believed launching a newly
built falcon 9 costs the company
something like 50 million dollars
so from a single launch it’s fair to
assume a working profit margin per
launch of around 12 million dollars
not bad when you consider the company is
scheduled to complete 21 flights this
year with an aspiration to launch around
50 in 2021
it gets better one of spacex’s core
brand missions is to make rocket flights
reusable
or at least the first stage so when the
first stage is reused
that cost believed to be in the region
of 35 million minus maintenance
overheads
removed from the equation makes musk’s
business suddenly seem very profitable
to put that into context one particular
falcon 9 first stage rocket recently
completed its seventh mission so even
with spacex offering deep discounts on
second-hand rocket flights a snipper 50
million dollars a launch
that’s still over 100 million dollars in
profit generated over the life of that
one rocket so far
spacex doesn’t just serve bland
terrestrial communications companies
it also holds lucrative contracts to
place us government satellites and top
secret u.s air force hardware up there
too
the extra security and complexity of
these missions is reckoned to add
something like 20 million dollars to the
price tag of each launch
just think back to last month when
humans were delivered safely to the iss
on a spacex craft
talk about high value payload these
profit margins don’t happen by accident
by all accounts bosses at spacex
headquarters in hawthorne los angeles
run a tight ship
as recently as 2019 a good year by the
company’s standards
some 10 of the company workforce was
laid off in a brutal cost cutting
exercise
and in a telling anecdote that’s gone
down in spacex folklore
engineer steve davis apparently once
asked elon musk to sign off on a 120 000
quote for a component manufactured by an
outside supplier
musk is said to have laughed davis out
of the room telling him he had five
thousand dollars to make one himself
in-house davis went away and indeed
figured out how to make the same
component for just three thousand nine
hundred dollars
still however lean mean and hyper
efficient spacex gets
and however many third-party satellites
it eats into orbit
it doesn’t account for morgan stanley’s
100 billion dollar valuation
so where’s the rest of that money set to
come from part of the answer is already
over our heads
musk’s starlink satellite program a
network of orbiting spacex satellites
that will broadcast high-speed internet
to presently unreachable regions of the
globe
is predicted to be a huge money spinner
over the coming years
as with everything space related it’s
pricey at first
musk himself has estimated the cost of
getting a functioning array of several
thousand such satellites into orbit with
supporting ground infrastructure to be
around 10 million dollars
however predicted revenues with users
paying 99
a month are set to exceed 30 billion
dollars as soon as the year 2025.
morgan stanley goes still further
suggesting that if spacex is able to
secure just 10
of projected growth in worldwide
broadband take up over the coming years
its starlink business alone will soon be
worth a whopping 52 billion dollars
no wonder private investors are already
queuing around the block at hawthorne
for a piece of starlink action
google parent company alphabet is one
such benefactor with an estimated 900
million dollar stake
beyond the bread and butter low earth
orbit haulage missions and the coming
revolution in how we go online
future spacex ventures might yield even
more profit
space tourism is just on the cusp of
feasibility
with tickets currently changing hands
for 50 million dollars a pop and the
first flight set to occur as early as
late next year
and when the next generation spacex
craft excitingly named starship
starts flying regular missions as early
as 2022 they’ll be even better
still at carrying lucrative payloads
into orbit there’s also the exciting
prospect of point-to-point orbital
travel between destinations on earth
though still very much on the drawing
board any business that can potentially
get you from new york to singapore in
around half an hour should be
quite the money spinner of course
there’s also mars
when it’s difficult to see exactly what
shape the martian economy will take
there’s likely to be a significant first
mover advantage for elon musk and his
company
and a hefty payday hot on the heels of
that beyond mars who can say
for now spacex keeps its financial
details close to its chest
partly to prevent prying eyes from
questioning the wisdom of elon musk’s
ultra expensive r d habit
but who can argue with a company that
makes a fortune even as it sets mankind
up for our ultimate destiny among the
stars